Donald Trump’s 2026 State Approval Ratings Map: Surprising Highs and Lows Revealed

Lead Donald Trump’s standing with voters is sliding unevenly across the country, according to newly released polling that maps his approval rating in all 50 states just as the 2026 campaign season kicks into high gear. State-by-State Snapshot • Morning Consult’s quarterly tracker finds Trump “above water” (more approve than disapprove) in only 22 states, down from 24 in the previous update. The slippage is most notable in reliably red Alaska and Iowa, where net approval turned negative for the first time this term. • Wyoming remains Trump’s safest harbor, with 64 % approval, while Vermont is his toughest terrain, logging 66 % disapproval. • Swing-state trouble spots persist. Disapproval tops 50 % in Wisconsin (54 %), Michigan (53 %) and North Carolina (52 %), and Georgia crossed the 50 % mark for the first time. National Undercurrent The state figures echo a fresh Reuters/Ipsos national poll that pegs Trump’s overall approval at just 33 %, the lowest point of his presidency. Regional Patterns • The South: Trump still posts net-positive numbers in deep-red bastions such as Alabama, Oklahoma and West Virginia, but his margin has narrowed by 2–4 points since last quarter. • The Midwest: Iowa’s swing into negative territory leaves Ohio as Trump’s only Midwestern state with net approval above zero. • The Sun Belt: Arizona and Nevada remain firmly negative, complicating GOP hopes in rapidly growing metro areas around Phoenix and Las Vegas. • The Northeast & West Coast: Trump’s approval is underwater by double digits in every state from Maine to Maryland and from Washington to California. Why the Decline? Pollsters cite two main factors: voter fatigue after seven years in office and concern over the prolonged conflict with Iran, which 80 % of adults now believe will be “long and costly,” according to a separate Forbes/HarrisX survey. Electoral Implications • Electoral College math: If today’s approval map were an election map, Trump would start with fewer than 240 safe electoral votes, forcing him to flip at least one large battleground where he is currently underwater. • Down-ballot drag: Republican strategists worry that negative presidential ratings could jeopardize the party’s narrow 12-seat House majority in November. • Senate spotlight: GOP incumbents in Michigan and Nevada, where Trump’s net approval is –13 and –11 respectively, may need to distance themselves from the top of the ticket to survive. What to Watch Morning Consult will release its next state tracker in November, giving campaigns a final data point before Election Day. Analysts say movement in seven key states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin—will reveal whether Trump can regain footing or if Democrats can capitalize on his regional weaknesses. Bottom Line Donald Trump’s approval ratings are eroding nationally and, more importantly, in the very states that decide the presidency. Unless the White House can reverse the trend, the 2026 electoral map is poised to be the most competitive of his tenure.