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Shell’s $10 Billion Clean-Energy Pivot Could Drive Down Your 2026 Power Bills

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London—Royal Dutch Shell plc is doubling down on Latin America, pledging a 3.5 billion-real (US $668 million) lifeline to its Brazilian sugar-and-ethanol venture Raízen as it accelerates a global pivot toward low-carbon fuels. The cash injection—matched by a further 3.5 billion-real tranche expected from a second investor—aims to stabilise Raízen after weather-hit harvests and heavy capital spending drove losses and ballooning debt. Shell Brazil chief Cristiano Pinto da Costa says keeping the joint venture intact is critical to boosting advanced biofuel output as global airlines and road-freight customers hunt for sustainable aviation fuel and renewable diesel. Brazil is also rising on Shell’s upstream radar. CEO Wael Sawan told reporters the company sees an “enormous opportunity” to expand in pre-salt oil while Middle-East tensions squeeze global supply, underscoring Shell’s twin-track strategy of funding the energy transition with high-margin barrels. Investors welcomed the growth push: Shell bought back another £130 million of shares on 3 March under its February authorisation, taking 2026 repurchases past £1 billion. The programme helps offset dilution from scrip dividends and signals confidence in free-cash-flow even as capex shifts toward LNG, carbon capture and renewables. Challenges remain. A New York judge this week refused to reopen arbitration on a disputed LNG supply contract with Venture Global, a setback that could curb trading profits if U.S. export volumes stay constrained. And in Southeast Asia, Shell Thailand froze planned diesel-price hikes after government pressure, highlighting the political tightrope big oil walks on retail margins. Still, analysts say the Raízen backstop, Brazilian deep-water appetite and relentless share buybacks position Shell to balance shareholder payouts with decarbonisation spending—key themes likely to dominate the company’s Capital Markets Day in June.

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