#penguins vs maple leafs
Penguins vs Maple Leafs: Live Score, Highlights & Key Moments of Tonight’s NHL Showdown
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TORONTO—Two Original Six-era markets collide tonight when the Pittsburgh Penguins visit the Toronto Maple Leafs in a prime-time clash that could reshape the Eastern Conference wild-card race. Puck drop is set for 7 p.m. ET (TNT/HBO Max/truTV) at Scotiabank Arena, with Toronto looking to snap a four-game skid while Pittsburgh tries to build on Sunday’s shootout win over Montreal.
Key storylines
• Season series: Toronto leads 2-0 after 7-2 and 4-3 victories in November, out-scoring Pittsburgh 11-5. A win tonight clinches the Leafs’ first season set over the Pens since 2021-22.
• Streak watch: The Maple Leafs (15-15-5) have been outscored 20-7 during their current drought and enter 8th in the Atlantic. The Penguins (15-11-9) have dropped four of five but sit just one point back of the final Metropolitan wild-card slot.
• Crosby vs. Nylander: Sidney Crosby paces Pittsburgh with 37 points (20 G, 17 A) and eight power-play tallies, while William Nylander leads Toronto with 36 points (11 G, 25 A) despite the club’s recent offensive lull.
• Injury report: Toronto could be without goalie Anthony Stolarz (IR) and blue-liner Brandon Carlo (IR), increasing pressure on rookies Dennis Hildeby and Joseph Woll. Pittsburgh still lists Evgeni Malkin (IR) as day-to-day but expects Blake Lizotte to return at center.
• Betting line: DraftKings opened Toronto –130 on the moneyline; the total sits at 6.5 goals. The Pens are 8-5-4 on the road, and the Leafs are 10-5-5 at home.
Why Toronto can win
1. Home-ice urgency: Scotiabank Arena remains a fortress; the Leafs own a +14 shot differential per 60 minutes in their building.
2. Depth scoring: Captain John Tavares (14 G) and sophomore Matthew Knies (12 G) need to complement Nylander as Auston Matthews works through a five-game goalless stretch.
3. Special teams edge: Toronto’s PK is up to 83.2 %, ninth in the NHL since December 1.
Why Pittsburgh can win
1. Crosby line rolling: Crosby-Guentzel-Rakell drives 62 % of five-on-five shot attempts and has combined for eight goals in four games.
2. Karlsson quarterbacking: Erik Karlsson leads all Pens skaters with 23 assists, nine on the power play, and should exploit a Leafs blue line missing Carlo.
3. Goaltending split: Rookie Stuart Skinner sports a 2.94 GAA and .886 save percentage but historically elevates against Toronto (.920 in three starts).
X-factor matchup
Toronto’s second pair of Morgan Rielly and Timothy Liljegren faces the daunting task of containing the Crosby line while pushing play north. Their transition efficiency versus Pittsburgh’s aggressive forecheck could dictate zone time.
Stat to know
Toronto has allowed the first goal in seven of its past nine outings; Pittsburgh is 10-2-3 when scoring first this season.
How to watch live
• TV: TNT, truTV, HBO Max (U.S.) | Sportsnet (Canada)
• Streaming: Max, SN NOW, ESPN+ (out-of-market)
• Radio: Penguins Radio 105.9 FM, Sportsnet 590 The Fan
Prediction
Both clubs are desperate, but the Penguins’ forechecking depth and recent uptick in shootout confidence give them a slight edge. Penguins 4, Maple Leafs 3 (OT).
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