#nico collins
Texans WR Nico Collins Active vs. Steelers in Wild Card Showdown: Fantasy Outlook & Playoff Impact
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Houston—Houston Texans star wide-receiver Nico Collins will watch Sunday’s regular-season finale against the Indianapolis Colts in street clothes, a strategic “healthy scratch” designed to preserve the Pro Bowler for next week’s AFC Wild Card clash.
The decision, confirmed early Saturday, surprised some inside NRG Stadium because Houston can still clinch a third consecutive AFC South crown with a win and help. Yet head coach DeMeco Ryans elected to safeguard his most explosive target after Collins strung together 71 catches, 1,117 yards and six touchdowns in just 15 games—his third straight 1,000-yard campaign.
Why sit him now?
1. Rest over risk: Collins already missed Week 8 with a concussion and absorbed 112 targets this season. The Texans believe a fresher WR1 will be decisive against a likely Wild Card rematch with the Pittsburgh Steelers’ physical secondary.
2. Depth audition: Rookie duo Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel plus swingman Xavier Hutchinson will soak up first-team reps, giving C.J. Stroud live chemistry reps with secondary options before the postseason spotlight.
3. Play-calling disguise: Without Collins drawing double-teams, OC Bobby Slowik can stress-test run-pass balance and red-zone packages the Steelers have little film on.
Fantasy and betting impact
• Odds makers already shifted Collins’ anytime-TD line from +130 to off the board, while Higgins opened at +340 as a sleeper first-TD pick.
• Stroud’s passing-yards prop dipped from 278.5 to 256.5 overnight, signaling books expect more Dameon Pierce and Devin Singletary touches against a Colts run defense allowing 4.6 YPC since Week 12.
Long-view for Houston
Collins’ breakout has him on pace to command a lucrative extension this spring; league execs peg the 25-year-old’s market at $22 million AAV, sandwiched between Calvin Ridley and Tee Higgins. Houston, armed with $68 million in projected cap space, can front-load a deal before Stroud’s rookie contract balloons in 2028.
Bottom line
Benching Nico Collins today trades a sliver of Week 18 firepower for a healthier, headline-ready playmaker when the national spotlight hits next weekend—and it broadcasts a message: the Texans’ Super Bowl push starts now.
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