Knicks vs Pacers Prediction: Expert Picks, Latest Odds & Must-Know Stats for Tonight’s Playoff Showdown

Tipoff for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals arrives tonight at 8 p.m. ET in Indianapolis, and search interest is spiking around one question: Knicks vs. Pacers prediction. Below is a data-driven breakdown of odds, matchups and best bets to help fans and bettors alike beat the buzzer. Odds Snapshot (DraftKings, 10 a.m. ET) • Spread: Pacers ‑3 • Moneyline: Pacers ‑154 | Knicks +129 • Total: 219.5 Why Indiana Holds the Edge • Home Cooking: Indy is 37-10 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse across regular season and playoffs. • Pace & Space: Tyrese Haliburton’s 9.4 APG this postseason fuels the league’s No. 1 playoff pace, stretching New York’s half-court defense. • Front-Court Depth: Pascal Siakam has posted 20.1 PPG and 5.8 RPG over 12 playoff games, giving the Pacers a secondary scorer when Jalen Brunson hunts mismatches. Why New York Can Steal Another • Brunson in Bounce-Back Spots: The All-NBA guard has topped 30 points in eight of 15 playoff starts and shot 43% from deep on the road. • Twin-Tower Rebounding: Karl-Anthony Towns (11.3 RPG) and Isaiah Hartenstein (10.2 RPG) give New York a +6.1 rebounding margin in the series. • Injury Relief: OG Anunoby remains out, but Indiana wing Aaron Nesmith (ankle) is banged-up, softening the Pacers’ perimeter defense. Key Matchups To Watch 1. Haliburton vs. Brunson pick-and-roll coverage—who hides on whom in crunch time? 2. Siakam vs. Towns in transition; Towns’ ability to trail-three could trade twos for threes. 3. Benched Minutes: T.J. McConnell’s energy vs. Deuce McBride’s on-ball pressure may decide the second quarter. Best Prop Angles • Haliburton Over 1.5 Steals (−105) – New York’s high usage guards coughed it up 17 times in Game 3. • Towns Over 35.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (−110) – Averaging 37.1 PRA this series. • Siakam Over 0.5 3-Pointers (−120) – Attempting 3.8 threes per game, Knicks are sagging off power forwards. Pace, Total & Prediction Game 3 slowed to 94 possessions, but both clubs rank top-four in playoff Offensive Rating. Expect tempo to normalize around 100 possessions, nudging the total past 219.5. Final Score Prediction: Pacers 113, Knicks 108 • Best Bet: Pacers ‑3 • Lean: Over 219.5 • Long-Shot: Tyrese Haliburton double-double & Pacers win (+180) With the series sitting 2-1, a win puts Indiana on the brink of its first Finals appearance since 2000, while a Knicks upset flips home-court advantage back to Madison Square Garden. All signs point to another nail-biter—be ready when the lights come on.